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Tony Hawk was living in his car in 1999 (then made millions)

Peak performance won't protect you from market collapse

Hey there,

Welcome to the Income Ivy newsletter.

Ever wonder what happens when you're the absolute best at something… and then the thing you're best at just disappears?

In 1999, Tony Hawk became the first skateboarder to land a 900, two-and-a-half mid-air spins on a skateboard, at the peak of his fame. That same year, he retired from professional competition at 31, having won 73 of 103 contests. But here's the kicker: just five years earlier, skateboarding was so dead that Hawk had to refinance his first house to keep his skateboard company, Birdhouse, afloat. The sport that made him a millionaire at 17 nearly bankrupted him at 26.

These stories aren't about talent fading. They're about entire markets collapsing beneath people's feet.

When being the best isn't enough

Picture this: Wayne Gretzky, 1979, age 18. He just signed a 10-year, $3 million contract with the Edmonton Oilers, the longest in hockey history at the time. By his second NHL season in 1981, he broke records that had stood for 35 years, scoring 164 points when the previous record was 152. He was the top-ranked player in the world for 264 consecutive weeks starting in 1999.

But when "The Trade" happened in 1988, when he was sold to the Los Angeles Kings for $15 million in cash plus players, it wasn't because his skills declined. The owner, Peter Pocklington, needed money because his other business ventures were failing. The greatest hockey player ever became a commodity when markets shifted.

The fascinating part? Gretzky didn't just survive. He transformed an entire industry. His arrival in Los Angeles directly led to two more NHL franchises in California and helped establish teams across the U.S. Sun Belt. Attendance surged; the sport expanded into markets that had never cared about hockey.

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The golfer who turned professional at 20 and nearly lost everything by 40

Tiger Woods turned pro in August 1996 at age 20 and immediately signed the most lucrative endorsement contracts in golf history with Nike and Titleist. By April 1997, he won the Masters at 21, becoming the youngest winner ever. He dominated the sport so thoroughly that economists measured a "Tiger effect." Other skilled golfers scored nearly one stroke worse when competing against him.

Then came 2009: marital infidelities, massive media coverage, loss of endorsements. He took an indefinite break from golf and delivered a televised apology in February 2010. For the first time since turning pro, he failed to win a single event in 2010. By November 2011, his world ranking had plummeted to number 58.

Between 2014 and 2017, Woods underwent four back surgeries. He competed in only one tournament between August 2015 and January 2018. He dropped off the list of the world's top 1,000 golfers entirely. In 2017, he privately told friends: "I'm done."

But in April 2019, at age 43, Woods won the Masters again. His first major championship in 11 years. He came back not by being better than before, but by adapting to a completely different version of himself.

The skateboarder who won 73 contests then watched his industry die

Tony Hawk turned professional at 14 in 1982. By 16, he'd won seven competitions and was recognized as the best competitive skateboarder in the world. With the money he made from skateboarding, he bought his first house during his senior year of high school. He won 12 consecutive National Skateboarding Association vert championships from 1984 to 1996.

Then skateboarding developed a bad reputation in the early 1990s. The industry collapsed so completely that Hawk refinanced his house and launched Birdhouse Projects just to survive. In the beginning, Birdhouse wasn't making money. The sport itself was dying.

But when skateboarding surged back into popularity, Birdhouse became one of the most successful brands, making $25 million annually within five years. When his video game Tony Hawk's Pro Skater launched in 1999, Activision's CEO later revealed that Hawk was offered $300,000 for his name and likeness. And that Hawk was living in his car due to financial issues at the time.

The game franchise would go on to spawn 18 titles and make Hawk wealthier than skateboarding competitions ever could.

Here's what these three understood

Your industry will change faster than your career lasts.

Gretzky played 20 NHL seasons. Woods has been a pro for nearly 30 years. Hawk competed for 21 years before retiring from competition. None of them could control when their sport would be popular, when owners would need cash, when their bodies would fail, or when public opinion would turn.

But all three built assets that outlasted their athletic peak.

Why adaptability beats dominance

Market collapse is structural, not personal

When skateboarding died in the early 1990s, it wasn't because Hawk got worse. When Woods dropped out of the top 1,000 golfers, it wasn't purely about skill. He had undergone four back surgeries. Sometimes entire industries shift regardless of individual performance.

Peak performance has a short window

Woods was severely myopic with 11 diopters of vision impairment and needed laser eye surgery in 1999 and again in 2007. Gretzky was described as having "unimpressive size and strength" even at his peak. Hawk retired from professional competition at 31 because bodies break down. You cannot stay at the top forever.

Leverage creates options when performance ends

Gretzky used his fame to popularize hockey in non-traditional markets. Woods's presence in tournaments generated the largest TV ratings in golf history. Hawk licensed video games and built a skateboard company. They all converted dominance into distribution.

How to apply this

Build before you need it

Hawk launched Birdhouse while still competing, not after retirement. When skateboarding collapsed, he already had infrastructure. Start creating assets, audience, reputation, products, while you still have momentum in your primary field.

Recognize when markets shift, not just when you decline

Gretzky's trade wasn't about performance; it was about his owner's financial problems. Woods's 2010 slump involved personal scandals as much as physical injuries. External forces matter as much as internal ones. Pay attention to industry health, not just personal metrics.

Convert visibility into leverage

Woods was paid over a billion dollars across his career, primarily from endorsements, not tournament wins. Gretzky's biggest impact was expanding hockey's geographic footprint. Hawk's video games made him more money than competitions. Visibility is temporary; systems are permanent.

Plan for the rebuild

Woods dropped to 1,199th in world rankings after his fourth back surgery in 2017. Then he worked his way back to win the 2019 Masters at age 43. He didn't return as the same player. He adapted to a different version of himself. Reinvention requires accepting you won't be what you were.

That's when I realized: these athletes didn't just survive because they were talented. They survived because they understood that dominance is temporary but systems compound. Hawk built Birdhouse when skateboarding was dead, and it became a $25 million brand when the sport returned. Gretzky transformed hockey's entire geographic market by moving to Los Angeles. Woods earned more from Nike than from tournament prizes because he built leverage that outlasted his performance window.

For those of us building businesses, this matters: your current advantage won't last, but what you build during that advantage can. The window when you're at your peak is exactly when you should be creating infrastructure that survives after the peak ends.

What are you building that outlasts your current advantage?

Until next time,
Emil - Founder of Income Ivy

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